GLOBAL MARKETS - Stocks Slip, Dollar Rises Ahead of US Inflation Data

February 29, 2024, 06.45 AM | Source: Reuters
GLOBAL MARKETS - Stocks Slip, Dollar Rises Ahead of US Inflation Data

ILUSTRASI. GLOBAL MARKETS - Stocks Slip, Dollar Rises Ahead of US Inflation Data. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

GLOBAL MARKET - NEW YORK Feb 28 (Reuters) - A global equities index fell slightly on Wednesday while Treasury yields edged down and the dollar rose against a basket of currencies as investors were wary the day before U.S. inflation data that could influence Federal Reserve policy.

January's U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE), the Fed's preferred inflation measure, is due on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters poll expect the index to have risen 0.3% on a monthly basis after a 0.2% increase in December.

Traders already have dialed back expectations for Fed interest rate cuts after a slew of strong data, including hot consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) readings. They expect an easing cycle to kick off in June, compared with the start of 2024 when bets were on March.

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"We're on hold until we get the PCE print. The market's going to chop around," said Jack Janasiewicz, portfolio manager and lead portfolio strategist at Natixis Investment Managers Solutions. "Between CPI and PPI there's a narrative that inflation is going to be stickier than expected or even potentially having a modest re-acceleration."

Janasiewicz noted that U.S. stock indexes remained not far from records reached last week, partly thanks to a better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings season including a boost from Nvidia NVDA.O on optimism about artificial intelligence.

"The market's had every chance to sell off but it's holding up pretty well," Janasiewicz said. "It's actually been looking past inflation to an extent because earnings has been better than expected."

Other data this week that may shape expectations on Fed policy include a second estimate of gross domestic product, jobless claims and manufacturing activity.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS shed 0.33%.

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On Wall Street the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI finished down 23.39 points, or 0.06%, at 38,949.02.

The S&P 500 .SPX dropped 8.42 points, or 0.17%, to 5,069.76 while the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC closed down 87.56 points, or 0.55%, at 15,947.74.

European stocks dipped as lackluster corporate earnings weighed on sentiment with the pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX closing down 0.35%.

In currencies, the dollar jumped against the euro and yen on Wednesday as investors positioned for U.S. and European inflation data due on Thursday, with month-end portfolio rebalancing also likely to sway market direction.

The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, rose 0.1% to 103.94.

The euro EUR= was down 0.08% at $1.0835. Against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar strengthened 0.12% at 150.69.

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U.S. Treasuries yields slid across the board with yields on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR falling 4.7 basis points to 4.268%, from 4.315% late on Tuesday, while the 30-year bond US30YT=RR yield fell 3.5 basis points to 4.4047% from 4.44%. The 2-year note US2YT=RR yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, fell 6.6 basis points to 4.6457%, from 4.712%.

In crypto currencies, bitcoinBTC=surged for a fifth day, buoyed by flows into new U.S. spot bitcoin exchange traded products that have driven it up nearly 40% in February, which would mark its largest monthly rally since December 2020.

It rose 5.96% at $60,111.00, after hitting its highest level since November 2021.

Gold prices ticked up as traders strapped in for economic data and comments from U.S. central bank officials.

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Spot gold XAU= added 0.18% to $2,033.37 an ounce.

In commodities, U.S. crude oil settled down while Brent barely gained as traders worried the Fed would be slow to cut rates. Growing U.S. crude stockpiles added pressure.

U.S. crude CLc1 settled down 0.42% at $78.54 per barrel while Brent LCOc1 finished at $83.68, up 0.04% on the day.

By Sinéad Carew


(Reporting by Tom Wilson in London and Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman, Jamie Freed, Tomasz Janowski, Nick Macfie, Aurora Ellis, Will Dunham and David Gregorio)

Editor: Hasbi Maulana

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