GLOBAL MARKETS- Global Equities Index Sluggish with Inflation in Focus, Oil Climbs

February 27, 2024, 05.06 AM | Source: Reuters
GLOBAL MARKETS- Global Equities Index Sluggish with Inflation in Focus, Oil Climbs

ILUSTRASI. GLOBAL MARKETS- Global Equities Index Sluggish with Inflation in Focus, Oil Climbs. REUTERS/Toby Melville


GLOBAL MARKET - Feb 26 (Reuters) - A global equities index fell slightly on Monday after hitting record highs last week, as investors took a breather ahead of the next batch of U.S. economic data, while oil prices rallied on concerns about shipping disruptions.

U.S. Treasury yields rose after an auction while the dollar fell slightly against a basket of currencies including the euro although it gained ground slightly against the yen.

On Monday sales of new U.S. single-family homes rose less than expected in January amid a sharp decline in the South region, but demand for new construction remained underpinned by a persistent shortage of previously owned homes. In addition, Dallas Federal Reserve manufacturing data was positive.

"The resiliency of the economy is shining through here. What that means is maybe that rates stay a little higher for longer," said Matt Stucky, chief portfolio manager for equities at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management.

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Investors are waiting for data on U.S. durable goods orders due out on Tuesday and the U.S. Federal Reserve's favored measure of inflation - the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index - is due on Thursday.

"The PCE price inflation index (is) expected to show a little bit more inflation, in line with the numbers that we saw with the CPI and PPI, so the markets are bracing for that," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities, referring to readings of the consumer price index and the producer price index.

The data will provide the next test for investors, who have had to rethink their bets on central bank rate cuts in recent weeks, surprised by strong U.S. job growth and inflation.

Investors were also watching the risk that U.S. government agencies could be shut down if Congress cannot agree on a borrowing extension by Friday.

On Monday the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 62.30 points, or 0.16%, to 39,069.23 while the S&P 500 .SPX dropped 19.27 points, or 0.38%, to 5,069.53 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC lost 20.57 points, or 0.13%, to finish at 15,976.25.

The U.S. stock market had risen to record highs last week with help from a bullish financial update from AI pioneer NvidiaNVDA.O.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS fell 1.97 points, or 0.26%, to 759.21. The STOXX 600 .STOXX index had closed down 0.37%.

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DEBT AUCTION

Commodity-linked stocks put pressure on European indexes on Monday after the STOXX 600 hit record highs last week as comments from ECB policymakers had prompted optimism over rate cuts on Friday.

Japan's blue-chip Nikkei scaled record highs for the second consecutive trading session, supported by upbeat performances in pharmaceuticals, although profit-taking limited momentum. The Nikkei .N225 closed up 135.03 points, or 0.35%, to 39,233.71.

But MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS closed 0.43% lower 0.43%, at 526.50.

U.S. Treasury yields rose on Monday as investors sought a higher premium for taking on a record $127 billion in government coupon debt at two auctions that suggested demand was a bit weak ahead of key inflation data later in the week.

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The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR rose 1.7 basis points from 4.26% late on Friday while the 30-year bond US30YT=RR yield rose 1.4 basis points to 4.3942% from 4.38%. The 2-year note US2YT=RR yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose 3.2 basis points to 4.7225%, from 4.69% late on Friday.

In currencies, the dollar index edged down ahead of U.S. durable goods orders and the inflation reading.

The dollar index =USD fell 0.19% to 103.77, with the euro EUR= up 0.29% at 1.085.

Against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar strengthened 0.12% to 150.68 ahead of Japanese inflation data due on Tuesday, forecast to slow to 1.8%. That could add to the case against policy-tightening by the Bank of Japan, the holdout dove among developed market central banks.

In commodities, oil prices gained on Monday as European diesel demand, constrained by Russian sanctions and shipping disruptions, pulled prices higher in a market jittery with U.S. refinery output limited by planned overhauls, analysts said.

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U.S. crude CLc1 settled up 1.43% at $77.58 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 finished at $82.53 per barrel, up 1.11%.

Spot goldXAU= lost 0.2% to $2,031.55 an ounce. U.S. gold futures GCc1 fell 0.68% to $2,024.80 an ounce. Copper CMCU3 lost 1.38% to $8,449.00 a tonne.

By Sinéad Carew and Yoruk Bahceli

(Reporting by Sinéad Carew, Yoruk Bahceli and Wayne ColeEditing by Ed Osmond, Alison Williams and Matthew Lewis)

Editor: Hasbi Maulana
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